Thursday, September 27, 2012

Crystal Ball: NM Senate Seat Now Likely Heinrich

According to the Crystal Ball, New Mexico's U.S. Senate race is no longer "leaning" to Democrat Martin Heinrich ... it's likely to be won by Heinrich.

No, I haven't turned to the occult to make political predictions. I'm talking about Sabato's Crystal Ball , the website of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics honcho Larry Sabato. Yesterday, Sabato's site changed its rating for the New Mexico race and several others.

After mentioning improved outlooks for Democratic Senate candidates in Florida and Ohio, Sabato and his co-authors wrote:

The same thing goes for New Mexico, where Republicans have apparently already abandoned their candidate, ex-Rep. Heather Wilson. We’re upgrading Rep. Martin Heinrich’s (D) chances to likely Democratic, which matches our rating of the state in the presidential race.


The reference to the national Republicans "abandoning" Wilson is a reference to the fact the the National Republican Senatorial Committee pulled a planned $3 million ad buy for Wilson, who has consistently trailed Heinrich in polls. Wilson insists that her own polls show she has begun a comeback. We'll know for sure in about 40 days.

The Washington Post's political blog The Fix still shows New Mexico "leaning" toward Heinrich, as does Real Clear Politics.

Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Gary Johnson, Zombie Fighter

Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson just released this, well, unusual video for his campaign.

In it, the former New Mexico governor positions himself as the only candidate who will fight political zombies. Or at least yell at them.

Johnson appears in this video, made in Concord, N.H. But a Youtube disclaimer says it was "Not paid for by any candidate or committee."

Say what you want about this ad, but it's a nice relief from the harsh slasher videos most candidates are running these days.



 

Monday, September 24, 2012

President Blasts KSFR News Director

The President was John F. Kennedy. There wasn't any KSFR in 1963, but the station's news director, Bill Dupuy, was an Air Force flack.

JFK called him a "silly bastard."

The story surfaced today in The New York Times from one of Kennedy's Oval Office recordings just released by the Kennedy Library.

Dupuy explains it himself at the KSFR site:

The President was yelling at an air force general about preparations being made at my base just in case a pregnant Jackie Kennedy went into labor on one of their frequent weekend visits to their Cape Cod summer home. The place was a base on Cape Cod where yours truly was serving as an Air Force second lieutenant in charge of media relations. Air Force One regularly landed at my base during the summer so the Kennedys could spend a weekend at Hyannis Port. My job was to handle local media and the White House press corps on these visits.

The air force had secretly cleaned up a wing in a World War II era hospital for Jackie Kennedy just in case. Word got out. The press showed up and air force headquarters in Washington told me to escort photographers and reporters to the hospital wing. I did. I showed them the spartan room, the bed and the rocking chair placed by the bed for JFK's personal use. The reporters insisted I get into the picture to provide a human touch. I did. It was that photo that JFK saw the next day in the
Washington Post.

The president was angry because he was afraid taxpayers would think the $5,000 spent on the hospital room was a waste of money.

The KSFR site has the actual recording of JFK railing about the "silly bastard" who was endangering the Air Force budget.

I'm jealous. I've been called a lot of names by a lot of politicians, but never a president. Congratulations, Bill.

Roundhouse Roundup: Working Together in Harmony

A version of this was published in The Santa Fe New Mexican 
Sept. 24, 2012

The year 2012 isn’t quite cooked yet, but — shock shock — Gov. Susana Martinez already is running for re-election. Recently, her political action committee sent out a full-color mailer to voters, including one to at least one registered declined-to-state I know.

On the address side of the card, in huge letters, it says, “Something Republicans and Democrats Can AGREE ON.”

On the flip side it says, “Gov. Susana Martinez is working to stop corruption.” Below that: “People have honest disagreements. But there is one thing on which we can all agree — there should be no room for corruption in state government. … Susana Martinez ran for governor to clean up government. From day one, she’s been working to bring Democrats and Republicans together to clean up government and stop corruption.” The part about working to bring Ds and Rs together is outlined in yellow.

The card then touts a law Martinez signed “requiring elected officials found guilty of corruption to forfeit their state pensions.” That’s close, but not quite correct. The pension isn’t required to be forfeited. Under the bill, sponsored by Senate GOP Whip Bill Payne, if a public official is found guilty of a corruption-related charge such as bribery or embezzlement, there would be a hearing to determine how much, if any, the official should be fined. The fine could not be greater than the value of the official’s salary and benefits.

The card is correct that Martinez worked with leaders of both parties to sign it. Carrying Payne’s bill in the House was Democratic floor leader Kenny Martinez (no relation to the governor.) Payne introduced the bill for years, but 2012 was the first time it ever got anywhere.

The mailer goes on to tout an executive order Martinez signed banning her political appointees from lobbying for at least two years and her rule that all political employees submit financial disclosure statements.

“Ending corruption is not a partisan issue,” says a quote above a smiling photo of the governor. “In New Mexico, Republicans and Democrats are showing we can work together.” Running along the bottom of the mailer is the message “Susana Martinez: Bringing people together to clean up government.”

Sending out such a card, even two years before she’s up for re-election, probably is a smart move. She’s starting early to define herself as a tough reformer intent on keeping campaign promises, while at the same time seeking bipartisan consensus and common ground.

Kumbya, my Lord, Kumbya …

Meanwhile, that other PAC, Reform New Mexico Now, headed by Martinez’s political director, Jay McCleskey, is revving up to savagely attack legislative Democrats who have “honest disagreements” with the governor.

Senate President Pro-tem Tim Jennings of Roswell is the first known victim. “I’m lucky, I guess,” Jennings said wryly. The conservative Democrat, who is running for re-election against Republican Cliff Pirtle, told me Thursday that last week people in his district began receiving mailers from the PAC that said he was “More Liberal Than You Think” and blasted him up and down on several issues.

But you can’t say Reform New Mexico Now doesn’t reach out to the other side of the aisle. During the primary they helped a handful of Democrats — including Sen. Phil Griego of San José and Carl Trujillo of Pojoaque — who were running against more liberal challengers. Griego and Trujillo won their primaries.

Earlier this year in the primaries, Susana PAC went nuclear against a Republican Senate candidate in Clovis, rancher Pat Wood, who was running against a candidate Martinez had endorsed. One of Woods’ vile transgressions was making campaign donations to a handful of Democrats who had backed agricultural legislation Woods was pushing. Woods fought back and won the primary.

More lawmakers are bound to feel the sting shortly. According to Reform New Mexico Now’s latest campaign finance report, the committee has more than $305,000 in the bank.

I don’t think much of the campaign material coming out of this PAC will be talking about bringing Democrats and Republicans together.

Friday, September 21, 2012

I Sit The Line

I'm off work today, celebrating Larry Hagman's birthday, (81 years young!) but I'll be on TV tonight on KNME's In Focus

I'm a guest panelist on "The Line" along with Republican PR consultant Whitney Waite, former Democratic Party chairman John Wertheim and New Mexico Law Review editor Sophie Martin. And, of course, host Gene Grant.

We discuss Gov. Susana Martinez’s role in this year’s election, New Mexico’s energy policy and other topics.

The show airs tonight at 7 p.m. and repeats 7 a.m. Sunday.

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

3 GOP Senators to Stump For Wilson

Sens. John McCain of Arizona, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and Kelly Ayotte of  New Hampshire, are coming to Albuquerque next week to campaign for U.S. Senate candidate Heather Wilson.

 “New Mexico’s Senate race could very well determine the future of this country,”  McCain said in a news release today. “Heather Wilson is the only candidate New Mexicans can trust to put a stop to the reckless spending and turn this economy around. The nation is watching.”

But while they're praising Wilson for wanting to stop spending, all three senators -- who serve on the Senate Armed Services Committee --  have been holding events around the country to talk about the important of not cutting defense spending.-- namely the automatic cuts to the Pentagon scheduled to take place next year.

The senators will hold a media event in Albuquerque on Sept. 25 to talk about national security and attend a private fundraiser in Albuquerque. No further details were available in the news release.

Monday, September 17, 2012

OK, This Looks Fun

This "rumble" between Jon Stewart and Bill O'Reilly will take place at George Washington University, will be moderated by CNN anchor E.D. Hill, and will be streamed live online.

As David Letterman says, "Remember, no wagering."